Posted at July 1, 2016, by Raleigh Addington, Comments Off on Robin Niblett, European affairs expert, believes the West has lost its self confidence
Robin Niblett, Director of Chatham house and European affairs expert discusses the uncertainty over leadership in the US, the fragility of the EU and the UK in the wake of last week’s referendum and what’s next for the European Union’s Leaders.
Robin believes that the West’s loss of self-confidence could be a crucial factor in the fall out from Brexit as the EU looks to recover following the UK’s controversial decision to leave the union. In the interview above Niblett explains his rational in more detail.
One of the dilemmas we will now face, Robin explains, is is that the place which the EU now needs to organise its self around is Eurozone governance, however to do so would be likely to expose the loss of sovereign credibility. This will lead to a delicate balancing act by the French and the Germans, who are likely to focus attention away from more divisive issues such as migration and the eurozone crisis and towards people’s insecurities such as security, defence and terrorism rather than trying to create a grand new plan together. It begs the question – how will the West gain back its confidence?
For more information, or to book Robin for an event, please get in touch with his agent Gus Allen.
Posted at July 1, 2015, by Raleigh Addington, Comments Off on Grexit and Brexit? Expert Speakers on the Future of Europe
Months of tense negotiations over Greece’s debt crisis have come to a head, with capital controls being imposed and banks closed throughout the country to stave off a full-blown financial implosion. Markets are jittery at the prospect of contagion hitting the so-called “periphery” countries.
Meanwhile, Prime Minister David Cameron is laying the groundwork to re-negotiate the UK’s membership of the EU, raising fundamental questions about the EU’s membership, constitutional make-up and ideological purpose.
The prospect of Grexit and Brexit are shaking the European project, and have the potential to shake the world.
Here is Chartwell’s pick of expert speakers who can help your business navigate the impact of the European crisis on the global economic and geopolitical landscape.
PETER BOFINGER: Member of Germany’s elite Council of Economic Experts.
ANDERS BORG: Former Swedish Finance Minister.
NICOS CHRISTODOULAKIS: Former Greek Minister of the Economy and Finance.
JOSCHKA FISCHER: Former Foreign Minister and Vice Chancellor of Germany.
PIPPA MALMGREN: Expert on the interaction between markets and politics.
For more information, or to book any of these speakers, please contact Leo von Bülow-Quirk at firstname.lastname@example.org, or on 0044 (0) 20 7792 8000.
Posted at June 23, 2015, by Raleigh Addington, Comments Off on “Would it actually matter if Britain left the EU?” Eurozone expert Wolfgang Münchau analyses the economics of Brexit
Wolfgang Münchau is considered one of the world’s foremost experts on the Eurozone. Writing for Prospect Magazine, he argues that whilst there is a case for Britain remaining a member of the European Union, it has little to do with economics.
Wolfgang counters the common economic arguments for staying in, and demonstrates that relying on insecure arguments serves nobody. For example, whilst “The single market has a certain ‘motherhood and apple pie’ quality—it is very hard to be against it”, it is not known how much is the single market really worth. Wolfgang points out that EU-wide productivity has been in decline since the official start date of the single market in 1992, and as such “the single market is not visible in the macro statistics.”
He concedes that leaving would present risks, but none compelling enough to make the case for a vote to stay in. “No matter what happens,” Wolfgang contends, “Britain’s future relationship with the EU is going to be one of semi-detachment.”
Click here to read a summary of his key arguments.
Posted at June 8, 2015, by Raleigh Addington, Comments Off on “Europe must embrace free enterprise” argues prize-winning journalist Matt Ridley
Writing for The Times, prize-winning journalist Matt Ridley argues that “Europe must embrace free enterprise”, as European economic growth rates continue to stagnate.
Describing the eurozone as “flat and teetering on the brink of debilitating deflation”, Matt demonstrates that public spending and dirigisme to stimulate growth does not work, while the “Anglo-Saxon” model of economic management – through open markets and deregulation – has proven to unleash growth.
Matt explains that “as figures from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development confirm, a 10 per cent increase in public spending produces a 0.5-1 per cent decrease in growth rates. The encouragement of free enterprise is what has always brought growth, from ancient Phoenicia to modern Mauritius, from Renaissance Italy to Silicon Valley.”
He goes on to say that “Entire continents teach the same lesson. South America and now Africa have both confirmed the hypothesis that state-directed commerce leads to stagnation while free enterprise causes rapid growth.”
Posted at June 9, 2014, by Raleigh Addington, Comments Off on Economics speaker Adair Turner on the “Great Credit Mistake”
Writing recently for Project Syndicate,Lord Adair Turner, Senior Fellow at the Institute for New Economic Thinking, discusses the “great credit mistake” and warns that policy-makers who focus on credit supply constraints ignore the main impediment to growth.
Instead, Lord Turner makes the case that “once the immediate crisis was over, lack of demand for credit played a far larger role than restricted supply in impeding economic growth.” He notes that this argument is made persuasively in an important new book titled House of Debt by Atif Mian and Amir Sufi.
Through analysing US data on a county-by-county basis, Mian and Sufi show that the recession was caused by a collapse of household consumption, and that consumption fell most in those counties where pre-crisis borrowing and post-crisis real-estate prices left households facing the largest relative losses in net wealth.
Furthermore, Lord Turner points out that it was in those US counties, and similarly so in the UK, “that local businesses cut employment most aggressively. For SMEs, a shortage of customers, not a shortage of credit, constrained borrowing, employment, and output.”
Posted at January 23, 2014, by Raleigh Addington, Comments Off on Listen to Adair Turner on the 2014 economic outlook
We recently caught up with Lord Adair Turner, Senior Fellow at the Institute for New Economic Thinking, who shared his thoughts on the 2014 economic outlook for the US, UK, Eurozone, Japanese and Chinese economies.
For more information, or to book Adair Turner as a keynote speaker for your conference or event, please contact Leo von Bülow-Quirk at email@example.com or call 0044 (0) 20 7792 8000.