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Foreign policy expert Robin Niblett discusses how to ensure Putin upholds the Minsk II agreement

Robin Niblett speakerIn an op-ed for Reuters, Director of Chatham House Robin Niblett discusses what brought Putin to the bargaining table over Ukraine, and how to ensure he upholds the Minsk II agreement. Robin outlines three possible reasons:

  1. Ukrainian resistance.
  2. The growing impact of Western economic sanctions.
  3. The transatlantic debate over providing arms to Ukrainian forces.

However, Robin also notes that important to recognise that “this agreement is broadly similar to the September 2014 agreement and, given that it does not clearly advance Putin’s strategic goals, conflict may again resume.” With these concerns in mind, Robin suggests that the allied governments should consult quickly to clearly set Western expectations and demands:

  1. State that any future spread of the conflict beyond the existing cease-fire line would be seen as an attack on the political sovereignty of the government in Kiev.
  2. Make clear that they will not consider easing any of the current economic sanctions until the Minsk II agreement has been completed in full.
  3. Include unfettered inspections by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe.
  4. Ensure the Ukrainian government’s securing control of its border with Russia.

He goes on to argue that although military assistance by the West may not be any more effective than economic sanctions, “both policies are principally about imposing costs on Russia for its actions and accepting costs on North America, Europe and their close allies.”

Click here to read the full article.

For more information on how to book Robin Niblett as a keynote speaker for your conference or client event, please get in touch with Leo von Bülow-Quirk at leo@chartwellspeakers.com or call on +44 (0) 20 7792 8000.

“Don’t Arm Ukraine” cautions John Mearsheimer, a world leading authority on great power politics

John Mearsheimer speaker [square]With the reigniting of the war in Ukraine, Western leaders are battling over how to help end the conflict. Questions are being raised over whether the US should send arms to fight Russian-backed rebels. As a response to such thinking, John Mearsheimer, one of the foremost realist thinkers on international politics, has cautioned world leaders in an NY Times op-ed titled “Don’t Arm Ukraine.”

Despite a recent report from three leading American think tanks that endorses the sending of advanced weaponry to Kiev, John contends that this “will not rescue its army and will instead lead to an escalation in the fighting.” He goes on to say that such a step is “especially dangerous because Russia has thousands of nuclear weapons and is seeking to defend a vital strategic interest.”

Instead, John suggests that “the only way to solve the Ukraine crisis is diplomatically, not militarily.” This can be achieved by making Ukraine a neutral buffer state between Russia and NATO. John believes that the West should also work with Mr. Putin to rescue Ukraine’s economy, “a goal that is clearly in everyone’s interest.”

Click here to read the full article, or watch the video above for more.

For more information on how to book John Mearsheimer as a keynote speaker for your conference or client event, please get in touch with Leo von Bülow-Quirk at leo@chartwellspeakers.com or call on +44 (0) 20 7792 8000.

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